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News & Articles By Garrison Vance
07/16/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Gulf States Signal Openness to Strait of Hormuz Fees, Reject Iranian Control
Several Arab Gulf states have privately indicated to U.S. and European officials that they are not opposed to paying a fee for transiting the Strait of Hormuz, but they reject any arrangement that gives Iran control over the waterway, according to multiple U.S. and regional officials familiar with the discussions. The distinction between accepting a […]
07/13/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Ukraine Unlikely to Produce Patriot Missiles Despite Trump’s License Promise, Sources Say
Ukraine is unlikely to start producing its own Patriot air defense missiles despite a promise by U.S. President Donald Trump to grant a production license, according to sources familiar with the matter cited by Reuters [1]. The new interceptors will likely be manufactured in Germany or another European country until the conflict with Russia ends, […]
07/12/2026
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By Garrison Vance
NATO Summit in Ankara Reveals Deep Divisions, Analysts Say
U.S. President Donald Trump declared that there was “tremendous love in that room” as he wrapped up the 2026 North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) summit in Ankara on July 9, according to participants. However, analysts said the summit exposed an alliance beset by public feuds, competing security visions, and widening political divisions. [1] The meeting […]
07/09/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Analysis: Military Strikes May Strengthen Iran’s Internal Cohesion, Defying Expectations
The Resilience Paradox Recent U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran were intended to degrade the Islamic Republic’s military capabilities, but an analysis published July 8 by Peter Rodgers in Antiwar.com argues the attacks may have had the opposite political effect, bolstering internal unity rather than weakening the government. The analysis points to what political scientists call the […]
07/06/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Doug Casey Predicts Trump Will Not Complete Second Term
Doug Casey, an author and economic commentator, has predicted that President Donald Trump will not serve his full second term in office. The prediction was made in a November 2024 interview [1]. Casey did not provide a specific timeline for when Trump might leave office but stated his belief that a combination of political opposition […]
07/04/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Poll Analysis: U.S.-Israeli War on Iran Becomes Most Unpopular Conflict in US History
An analysis of 153 public opinion surveys across seven major U.S. wars, published by Responsible Statecraft on June 26, concluded that the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran is the most unpopular conflict in American history, according to the report [1]. Public support has dropped to a net negative 32 percent, surpassing the previous low of negative […]
07/03/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Over 900 Arrested in South Africa Anti-Immigrant Protests
South African police confirmed that more than 900 people were arrested during nationwide anti-immigrant protests held on Tuesday, marking a deadline set by groups demanding that undocumented foreign nationals leave the country. Deputy National Police Commissioner Tebello Mosikili told reporters on Wednesday that 120 marches took place across the country, with 108 ending peacefully and […]
06/30/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Hezbollah Chief Declares Lebanon-Israel Agreement Null and Void, Vows Continued Resistance
Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem on June 27 declared the U.S.-brokered Lebanon-Israel framework agreement “null and void,” according to a statement reported by multiple outlets [1][2][3]. The agreement, signed in Washington on June 26 by Israeli and Lebanese delegations with U.S. mediation, aims to establish a framework for security arrangements along the border and eventual normalization […]
06/28/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Majority of Poles Oppose Ukraine’s EU Membership, Poll Shows
Nearly 60% of Poles now oppose Ukraine’s accession to the European Union, according to an IBRiS poll conducted for Radio ZET and published June 25, 2026. The survey found that 59.7% of respondents are against Ukrainian membership, up from 42% a year ago, as reported by Polish media. [2] Support for Ukraine’s EU bid has […]
06/26/2026
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By Garrison Vance
U.S. and Iran Clash Over Planned Transit Fees in Strait of Hormuz
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Washington will not accept any tolls or transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz, calling the waterway an international passage where no state may levy charges. Speaking after arriving in the United Arab Emirates for meetings with Gulf leaders on Thursday, June 25, Rubio stated: “It’s an international […]
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